I took to musing the other day about how popular the top ten names of 2010 in the USA were twenty-five years ago.
Will the names currently occupying the spots taken by America’s current favorites be the top ten in 2035?
First things first — where were today’s top ten boys’ names twenty-five years back?
The year was 1985. Hair was Big. Shoulder pads were even Bigger…
And 2010′s top ten occupied the following spots:
- Jacob: 35 (rising)
- Ethan: 308 (in decline; reached lowest ebb in 1986, ranked 333)
- Michael: 1 (reigned 1954-1998)
- Jayden: Unranked (only 10 boys received the name in 1985)
- William: 16 (in decline; rose again from mid ’90s)
- Alexander: 50 (rising)
- Noah: 217 (in decline; started to rise again in 1990)
- Daniel: 5 (at its peak; has been dithering between the 5th and 12th spot ever since)
- Aiden: Unranked (only 19 boys called Aiden in 1985, and only 54 called Aidan)
- Anthony: 20 (slowly rising)
So who has filled their shoes now? And will they be 2035′s top ten?
- LUCAS is 35. A distinct maybe. Has been rising consistently since 1959, not too fast, not too slow. It is currently the most popular name in France, so the precedent is set… nearby, other contenders could be Caleb (33) or Isaac (39).
- JUDAH. In 308th place it is actually Emilio, but as lovely a name as it is, I can’t see it ever reaching the top ten. More likely from this section of the ranks is Judah (297) or maybe Finn (300), both rising rapidly in recent years.
- JACOB is 1. I doubt it. 1985′s top dog Michael was no 1 for nearly half a century. Jacob’s been there for over ten years, to be sure, but will it be there much longer? And does it have Michael’s staying power? Time will tell.
- RAFFERTY. A lot of names names were borne by just ten baby boys in 2010, including gems such as Yates, Taro, Soul, Rigel, Remus, Philemon, Odysseus, Orestes, Lion, Kit, Covey, Ashe, Altair. But Rafferty, I think, is the one to watch.
- ELIJAH. Matthew occupies the current 16th slot, but along with other former top-tenners close by — Christopher (13), Andrew (14) and David (15) — Matthew has had its day and will probably be still falling. Elijah (18), however, shows all the signs of heading into the top ten erelong.
- OWEN. Current no. 50 is Justin, which is in decline, and I don’t see turning. Owen, however, is only a couple of spots away at 47 and rising…
- SILAS. Johnathan is the real 217, but would be very unlikely to follow in Noah’s footsteps and make the top ten. Standard Jonathan (28), I think will always outrank its variant spellings. If any name from the 210s or 22os will be top ten in 25 years time, I’d put money on it being Silas (222).
- WILLIAM is 5. I wouldn’t be surprised if this tenacious classic is still in the top ten twenty-years from now. That or that other barnacle, Michael.
- INDIGO. Lots of names notched up just 19 bearers in 2010, including Aldrin, Arlan, Bayne, Bowman, Godric, Jehu, Mordecai, Sabin and Summit. I think however, that there are stronger contenders among those names with 18 bearers in 2010, which include Ajax, Arrow, Griffith, Prentice, Roark and Sirius. But I’m going with the wildcard Indigo from those with 20 bearers last year, because I like it so much.
- JOSEPH is 20. He could do it, although that other old faithful James (19) could have clawed his way back up to the top ten too.
What girls’ names will be top of the tree in 2035? Find out tomorrow…
