Yesterday, I gazed into my crystal ball (a.k.a. the American SSA’s Popular Baby Name website), and predicted what boys’ names will be in the top 10 in 2035.
My method is simple. How were today’s top ten ranked in 1985? And what names occupied those spots in 2010?
Today’s top ten girls’ names were ranked as follows in 1985:
- Isabella: Unranked (only 34 girls received the name in 1985)
- Sophia: 236 (in slight decline in 1985, though generally rising)
- Emma: 267 (rising)
- Olivia: 248 (in decline — but started to rise again in 1986)
- Ava: Unranked (only 132 girls called Ava in 1984, but it re-entered the charts again in 1986)
- Emily: 24 (rising rapidly)
- Abigail: 153 (rising)
- Madison: 628 (its first appearance in the rankings, prompted by the 1984 film Splash)
- Chloe: 564 (rising)
- Mia: 438 (rising)
And their 2035 replacements look like this (with a bit of tweaking)
- HERMIONE. Many people are pretty amazed to find out that not only was today’s darling Isabella not in the top 1000 in 1985, but only 34 baby girls were given the name at all. There were some interesting names in the same place in 2010, including Ara, Empress, Indiana, Mathilda, Saba, Wisdom and Zamora, but I can’t see any making the top 10 (Mathilda’s big sister Matilda might, but she is in the top 1000). There are one or two interesting possibilities among the names given to 35 little girls, such as Clarice, Lavinia and Polly; while another old classic Ursula was borne by only 32 girls in 2010, but it is lovely Hermione, given to only 37 baby girls in 2010 that gets my vote. I can’t help thinking it’s only a matter of time that the USA finally embraces her, and that she’s the one to watch from the bottom of this barrel.
- ELIZA. Jayda occupies the present 236th slot, but although she may rise quite high, I think her time in the sun will be over by 2035. Nearby, however, Eliza (240) is rising.
- ESTHER is 267. She’s been away in the wilderness a while, but I think the tide is turning in her favor now.
- HARMONY. Ranked 248th is Cassidy, but she’s in decline. Harmony, however, is 249th, and rising…
- CLEMENTINE — 132 little girls were called Clementine in 2010. This beauty vanished from the top 1000 in 1953; in 1994, less than three girls received the name (if any at all), but since then, the numbers have generally been increasing.
- LEAH is 24. Like her predecessor Emily was, twenty-five years ago, she’s steadily rising. Will she have made the top ten by 2035? Perhaps.
- DAISY. Actually ranked 151 in 2010; 153rd was Makenzie, which is in decline and pretty unlikely to be in 6th place in 2035 now. Popular in the UK, Daisy, however, is on the rise again. Another possibility from the 150s is Vivian (158).
- ANNABEL is 628. She re-entered the top 1000 in 2000 and might well go places.
- ROSA is 564. She’s at her lowest yet, but surely the time is ripe now for her fortunes to change? They have already in Britain.
- ADELAIDE. In the 438th spot is Kadence, a doubtful top ten contender for 2035. Adelaide (434), however, is rocketing up the charts. Another possibility is Helen, languishing in the 437th spot. Its a long time now since she was in favor, and perhaps its her time to shine once more?